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Red90
548718.0
570323.1
377027.7
Blue122
261942.1
91016.7
515535.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4683010015020025090122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.8
26.528.4
Auto0.5
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 14.4
42.12.1
37.039.1
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
5703
#13
23.11.8
14.416.2
Auto0.8
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 11.9
35.02.1
27.829.9
Auto0.2
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
5487
#12
18.01.8
12.214.1
Auto0.8
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 1.2
910
#27
16.72.1
15.717.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0