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Red63
521625.4
56229.1
498825.7
Blue55
522926.7
519315.8
560333.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487501001502006355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4988
#14
25.70.5
22.923.4
Auto0.8
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 8.0
33.70.6
33.833.2
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
25.40.5
19.620.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5229
#25
26.70.6
24.624.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
5622
#39
9.10.5
11.311.8
Auto0.8
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5193
#32
15.80.6
14.814.2
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0