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Red131
70318.9
515535.0
522422.2
Blue53
30216.3
569715.6
261942.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706220408010012014013153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.03.0
29.932.8
Auto0.2
Teleop34.8
End0.0
blue by 7.1
42.10.6
39.138.5
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
22.23.0
22.925.8
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 5.9
302
#16
16.30.6
11.310.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
703
#31
18.94.3
18.622.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 3.2
5697
#33
15.60.9
14.914.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0