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Red96
571221.2
361831.2
544713.0
Blue95
516620.0
550422.4
542412.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645302040801001209695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.6
30.832.4
Auto1.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 8.8
5504
#11
22.41.9
20.822.7
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
5712
#30
21.21.6
20.622.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
5166
#28
20.01.9
22.724.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
5447
#34
13.02.3
12.715.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 0.7
5424
#36
12.31.9
12.714.6
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0