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Red52
523113.0
522217.5
521512.4
Blue46
550930.7
515616.6
481922.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26770501001502005246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5222
#15
17.50.9
15.115.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 13.2
5509
#10
30.71.0
30.729.7
Auto1.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
5231
#37
13.00.9
8.18.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 9.3
4819
#17
22.31.0
24.023.0
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
5215
#38
12.40.9
11.612.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5156
#18
16.61.0
16.815.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0