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Red74
560333.7
361831.2
29719.0
Blue43
554715.9
516620.0
525717.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865501001507443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.5
33.232.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 13.7
5166
#28
20.00.9
24.723.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
31.20.5
32.431.8
Auto1.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 13.4
5257
#23
17.80.9
19.218.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
297
#21
19.00.5
19.118.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 3.1
5547
#29
15.90.9
18.117.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.7
End0.0