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Red50
91016.7
570323.1
70318.9
Blue34
522926.7
56229.1
542412.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584702040801001205034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5703
#13
23.10.4
17.817.4
Auto0.8
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 3.6
5229
#25
26.70.8
24.023.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
703
#31
18.90.5
22.922.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 6.6
5424
#36
12.30.8
14.613.8
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
910
#27
16.70.4
17.316.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 7.7
5622
#39
9.10.8
11.811.0
Auto0.8
Teleop8.3
End0.0