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Red44
550930.7
70318.9
542412.3
Blue9
516620.0
520313.3
29719.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65520204080100120140449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#10
30.71.1
29.428.3
Auto1.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 10.6
5166
#28
20.01.8
23.722.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
703
#31
18.91.3
22.321.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 0.1
297
#21
19.01.8
18.616.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
5424
#36
12.31.1
13.812.7
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5203
#35
13.32.1
13.911.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0