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Red69
560333.7
515616.6
571221.2
Blue84
515535.0
519315.8
437617.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686002040801001201406984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.0
32.632.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
blue by 1.3
35.01.0
33.934.9
Auto0.2
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
5712
#30
21.20.0
19.719.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 3.5
4376
#24
17.81.0
16.117.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
5156
#18
16.60.0
16.816.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 0.8
5193
#32
15.81.0
13.314.4
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0