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Red64
377027.7
522422.2
511018.2
Blue48
523113.0
525717.8
498825.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714702060801001201401606448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.3
26.826.5
Auto0.5
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 2.0
4988
#14
25.70.2
23.122.8
Auto0.8
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
22.20.3
23.323.0
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 4.4
5257
#23
17.80.2
18.318.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
5110
#26
18.20.3
19.619.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 5.2
5231
#37
13.00.2
11.311.1
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0