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Red157
521625.4
481922.3
31465.5
Blue140
261942.1
357030.8
570323.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087350150200157140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#1
65.52.5
62.965.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop65.6
End0.0
red by 23.5
42.13.0
37.640.5
Auto0.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
25.42.5
22.925.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 5.4
30.83.0
25.828.8
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
4819
#17
22.32.5
20.422.9
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5703
#13
23.13.0
17.420.4
Auto0.8
Teleop22.3
End0.0