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Red25
91016.7
550422.4
56229.1
Blue25
214511.3
521512.4
552521.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49462030406070802525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5504
#11
22.41.3
22.221.0
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 1.3
5525
#19
21.10.8
21.320.4
Auto1.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
910
#27
16.71.3
16.915.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 4.4
5215
#38
12.40.8
12.111.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
5622
#39
9.11.3
11.09.7
Auto0.8
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 2.2
2145
#40
11.31.0
14.413.4
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0