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Red86
361831.2
357030.8
498825.7
Blue92
377027.7
560333.7
91016.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88742040601001201401608692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.0
31.631.6
Auto1.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 2.5
33.70.2
33.934.2
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
30.80.0
31.231.2
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 3.1
27.70.2
27.928.1
Auto0.5
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Third
4988
#14
25.70.0
26.126.1
Auto0.8
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 8.9
910
#27
16.70.2
16.917.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0