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Red95
361831.2
357030.8
498825.7
Blue52
481922.3
521625.4
548718.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89580501001509552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.1
31.031.2
Auto1.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 5.8
25.40.2
25.225.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
30.80.1
30.630.8
Auto1.8
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 8.5
4819
#17
22.30.2
22.121.9
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
4988
#14
25.70.1
25.525.7
Auto0.8
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 7.7
5487
#12
18.00.2
17.817.6
Auto0.8
Teleop17.1
End0.0