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Red69
368839.5
423730.1
387527.6
Blue78
506936.5
276744.8
432533.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911120501502002503006978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.5
39.639.1
Auto0.7
Teleop38.8
End0.0
blue by 5.3
44.80.6
44.343.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
30.10.5
30.129.7
Auto1.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 6.4
5069
#10
36.50.6
36.035.4
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Third
3875
#26
27.60.5
27.727.2
Auto0.8
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4325
#14
33.20.6
32.732.1
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0