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Red42
553516.4
354733.8
387527.6
Blue53
515222.4
520425.0
432533.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828040601001201404253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#12
33.82.0
34.632.5
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 0.5
4325
#14
33.21.6
34.332.7
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
3875
#26
27.62.0
29.727.7
Auto0.8
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
25.01.6
26.725.1
Auto0.9
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
5535
#34
16.42.0
18.416.4
Auto0.4
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 6.0
5152
#17
22.41.6
24.122.5
Auto1.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0