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Red70
362038.6
194011.8
519422.1
Blue86
345247.6
423730.1
567430.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631110501502002507086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#19
38.60.1
38.938.7
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
blue by 9.0
47.61.1
44.643.6
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
5194
#23
22.10.1
22.222.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 8.7
5674
#18
30.81.1
31.530.5
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Third
1940
#40
11.80.1
11.911.8
Auto0.6
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 18.3
30.11.1
31.230.1
Auto1.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0