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Red104
574524.6
276744.8
505620.8
Blue101
439511.7
7050.7
437732.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80910200300400104101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.0
43.344.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
blue by 5.9
70
#1
50.70.4
49.349.7
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
5745
#15
24.61.0
22.423.4
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 8.2
4377
#13
32.80.4
32.132.5
Auto0.7
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
5056
#24
20.81.0
18.619.6
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 9.2
4395
#31
11.70.4
11.211.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0