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Red98
125417.3
49448.1
567517.8
Blue154
506936.5
46944.6
524617.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7978406010012014098154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
48.10.9
46.247.1
Auto7.6
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 3.5
469
#11
44.63.5
37.040.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
5675
#28
17.80.9
16.917.8
Auto-1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 18.7
5069
#10
36.53.5
32.536.0
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Third
1254
#30
17.30.9
16.417.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5246
#22
17.63.5
14.117.6
Auto1.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0