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Red148
46944.6
345247.6
550126.8
Blue89
505620.8
354733.8
574524.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106605015020014889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.7
43.644.3
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 13.8
3547
#12
33.80.2
32.532.8
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
469
#11
44.60.7
40.641.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 19.9
5745
#15
24.60.2
23.423.6
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
5501
#25
26.80.7
22.823.5
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 6.0
5056
#24
20.80.2
19.619.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0