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Red127
46944.6
345247.6
550126.8
Blue132
506936.5
276744.8
432533.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091076080100120140160127132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.3
44.945.2
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 2.8
44.80.3
44.444.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
469
#11
44.60.3
41.942.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 8.1
5069
#10
36.50.3
36.136.4
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Third
5501
#25
26.80.3
24.124.4
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
blue by 6.4
4325
#14
33.20.3
32.933.2
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0