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Red137
49448.1
7050.7
562318.0
Blue102
505620.8
354733.8
574524.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11766050100150200137102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#1
50.70.4
49.549.9
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 16.9
3547
#12
33.80.4
32.833.2
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
494
#2
48.10.4
46.947.3
Auto7.6
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 23.5
5745
#15
24.60.4
23.624.0
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
5623
#32
18.00.4
16.717.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
5056
#24
20.80.4
19.820.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0