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Red146
46944.6
345247.6
550126.8
Blue99
567430.8
437732.8
561021.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107605010015020014699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.6
44.344.9
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 14.7
4377
#13
32.80.3
32.632.8
Auto0.7
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
469
#11
44.60.6
41.241.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 13.8
5674
#18
30.80.3
30.530.8
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Third
5501
#25
26.80.6
23.524.1
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 5.8
5610
#20
21.10.3
20.821.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.7
End0.0