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Red156
46944.6
345247.6
550126.8
Blue158
49448.1
7050.7
562318.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110109100120130140150156158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.7
46.046.7
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
blue by 3.1
70
#1
50.70.7
49.750.4
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
469
#11
44.60.7
43.043.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
blue by 3.5
494
#2
48.10.7
47.047.8
Auto7.6
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Third
5501
#25
26.80.7
25.225.9
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 8.9
5623
#32
18.00.7
16.917.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0