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Red40
295941.1
247439.1
546211.3
Blue154
506936.5
276744.8
432533.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711105015020025030040154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.9
42.041.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop41.2
End0.0
blue by 3.7
44.80.7
43.744.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
39.10.9
40.039.1
Auto0.6
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 2.6
5069
#10
36.50.7
35.436.1
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Third
5462
#37
11.30.9
12.211.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 21.9
4325
#14
33.20.7
32.132.9
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0