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Red127
506936.5
276744.8
432533.2
Blue82
505620.8
354733.8
574524.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1176905010015020012782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.2
44.644.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 11.0
3547
#12
33.80.0
33.733.8
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
5069
#10
36.50.2
36.336.5
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
red by 11.9
5745
#15
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
4325
#14
33.20.2
33.033.2
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 12.4
5056
#24
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0