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Red94
362038.6
423730.1
550126.8
Blue110
46810.1
276744.8
567611.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6845020608010012014016094110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#19
38.61.4
35.737.0
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
blue by 6.2
44.83.0
36.739.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
30.11.4
16.417.8
Auto1.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 18.5
5676
#38
11.65.0
10.415.4
Auto0.7
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5501
#25
26.81.4
14.415.8
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 16.8
468
#36
10.13.0
3.26.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0