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Red82
546211.3
562318.0
506936.5
Blue132
515222.4
7050.7
505620.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4160010015020025082132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5069
#10
36.51.8
22.324.1
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
blue by 14.2
70
#1
50.73.6
36.339.9
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
5623
#32
18.01.8
14.216.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5152
#17
22.43.6
13.517.1
Auto1.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5462
#37
11.31.8
8.810.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 9.5
5056
#24
20.83.6
9.613.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0