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Red74
345247.6
125417.3
519422.1
Blue65
368839.5
485514.2
567611.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705602040801001201407465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.5
35.636.1
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 8.1
39.50.2
32.232.4
Auto0.7
Teleop38.8
End0.0
Second
5194
#23
22.10.5
17.618.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 7.9
4855
#33
14.20.2
12.412.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
1254
#30
17.30.5
17.017.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 5.8
5676
#38
11.60.4
15.415.8
Auto0.7
Teleop10.9
End0.0