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Red115
515222.4
362038.6
247439.1
Blue82
550126.8
567430.8
387527.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816920406010012014016011582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.6
28.229.8
Auto0.6
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 8.3
5674
#18
30.80.4
30.330.7
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Second
3620
#19
38.61.6
37.038.7
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 11.0
3875
#26
27.60.4
27.427.8
Auto0.8
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
5152
#17
22.41.6
17.118.7
Auto1.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5501
#25
26.80.4
15.816.2
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0