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Red80
561021.1
574524.6
550220.9
Blue105
506936.5
515222.4
125417.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386205010015020025080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5745
#15
24.61.8
12.814.7
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 11.9
5069
#10
36.52.2
24.126.3
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Second
5610
#20
21.11.8
11.313.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5152
#17
22.42.2
18.721.0
Auto1.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5502
#29
20.93.1
19.022.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 3.6
1254
#30
17.32.2
17.519.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0