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Red73
567611.6
437732.8
546211.3
Blue107
567430.8
505620.8
247439.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4975010015020025030073107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#13
32.80.9
26.227.1
Auto0.7
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 6.2
39.11.7
29.831.5
Auto0.6
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
5676
#38
11.61.5
15.817.3
Auto0.7
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 19.2
5674
#18
30.81.7
30.732.4
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Third
5462
#37
11.30.9
12.813.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 9.5
5056
#24
20.81.7
13.214.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0