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Red84
485514.2
432533.2
567430.8
Blue126
423730.1
49448.1
506936.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585620408010012084126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#14
33.21.3
26.227.5
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
blue by 14.9
494
#2
48.13.3
26.930.2
Auto7.6
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
5674
#18
30.81.3
23.825.1
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5069
#10
36.53.3
19.622.9
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Third
4855
#33
14.21.3
8.19.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 15.9
30.13.3
13.116.4
Auto1.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0