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Red50
522715.0
524617.6
515222.4
Blue70
46944.6
505620.8
567611.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155101001505070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#17
22.41.7
11.713.5
Auto1.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 22.2
469
#11
44.61.1
29.230.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
5246
#22
17.61.7
6.27.9
Auto1.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5056
#24
20.81.1
9.710.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
5227
#21
15.01.7
3.14.9
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 3.5
5676
#38
11.61.7
12.110.4
Auto0.7
Teleop10.9
End0.0