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Red120
354733.8
7050.7
436821.4
Blue130
437732.8
387527.6
345247.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54750100150200120130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#1
50.73.1
30.233.2
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 3.1
47.62.8
30.333.0
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
3547
#12
33.83.1
21.224.2
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 0.9
4377
#13
32.82.8
20.623.4
Auto0.7
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
4368
#16
21.43.1
7.510.6
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 6.2
3875
#26
27.62.8
23.626.4
Auto0.8
Teleop26.8
End0.0