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Red92
562318.0
7050.7
432533.2
Blue66
522715.0
125417.3
362038.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91640501502009266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#1
50.70.4
43.343.7
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 12.1
3620
#19
38.60.2
38.638.4
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
4325
#14
33.20.4
33.033.4
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 15.9
1254
#30
17.30.2
19.819.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
5623
#32
18.00.4
14.014.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 2.9
5227
#21
15.00.2
12.412.1
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0