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Red96
295941.1
550126.8
345247.6
Blue80
276744.8
46944.6
125417.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85950501502002503003504009680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.3
39.039.3
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 2.8
44.80.8
43.042.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
41.10.3
34.234.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop41.2
End0.0
blue by 3.5
469
#11
44.60.8
33.933.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Third
5501
#25
26.80.3
16.416.7
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 9.5
1254
#30
17.30.8
19.518.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0