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Red34
561021.1
567611.6
562318.0
Blue46
194011.8
423730.1
553516.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425801001502002503446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5610
#20
21.10.6
16.015.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 9.0
30.10.6
24.824.2
Auto1.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
5623
#32
18.00.6
14.413.8
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
5535
#34
16.40.6
21.821.2
Auto0.4
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
5676
#38
11.61.0
15.714.7
Auto0.7
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
1940
#40
11.80.6
11.310.7
Auto0.6
Teleop11.2
End0.0