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Red89
567430.8
515222.4
439511.7
Blue143
368839.5
167723.5
7050.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55111015020025089143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#18
30.81.2
35.336.4
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
blue by 20.0
70
#1
50.71.8
43.745.5
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
5152
#17
22.41.2
19.220.4
Auto1.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 17.1
39.51.8
35.537.3
Auto0.7
Teleop38.8
End0.0
Third
4395
#31
11.71.2
11.312.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 11.8
1677
#27
23.51.8
27.329.1
Auto0.0
Teleop23.5
End0.0