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Red52
387527.6
518210.0
485514.2
Blue62
546211.3
432533.2
524617.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58572040801001205262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#26
27.60.3
29.929.6
Auto0.8
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4325
#14
33.20.1
33.433.5
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
4855
#33
14.20.3
16.916.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5246
#22
17.60.1
14.014.1
Auto1.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
5182
#39
10.00.3
11.811.5
Auto1.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5462
#37
11.30.1
13.213.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0