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Red81
567517.8
505620.8
437732.8
Blue76
46810.1
550220.9
519422.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594902040801001201408176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#13
32.81.1
29.630.7
Auto0.7
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 10.8
5194
#23
22.11.2
19.220.4
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
5056
#24
20.81.1
17.818.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5502
#29
20.92.0
24.025.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
5675
#28
17.81.1
11.913.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 7.7
468
#36
10.11.2
9.210.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0