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Red101
423730.1
276744.8
515222.4
Blue75
567430.8
440915.1
436821.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886205010015020010175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.7
42.242.9
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 14.0
5674
#18
30.80.3
36.436.8
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Second
30.10.7
24.224.9
Auto1.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 8.7
4368
#16
21.40.3
16.917.2
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
5152
#17
22.40.7
20.421.1
Auto1.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 7.3
4409
#35
15.10.3
15.015.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.4
End0.0