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Red100
345247.6
524617.6
167723.5
Blue62
546211.3
550126.8
574524.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions883405010015020010062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.9
39.340.2
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 20.8
5501
#25
26.80.9
16.717.7
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Second
1677
#27
23.50.9
29.130.0
Auto0.0
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5745
#15
24.60.9
13.714.6
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
5246
#22
17.60.9
14.114.9
Auto1.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 6.3
5462
#37
11.30.9
13.214.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0