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Red12
368839.5
439511.7
505620.8
Blue46
354733.8
125417.3
550220.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657402003004005006001246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.52.8
37.334.5
Auto0.7
Teleop38.8
End0.0
red by 5.7
3547
#12
33.81.5
30.429.0
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
5056
#24
20.82.8
18.916.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5502
#29
20.92.4
25.923.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4395
#31
11.72.8
12.59.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 5.7
1254
#30
17.31.5
18.717.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0