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Red66
49448.1
7050.7
46810.1
Blue8
567517.8
567611.6
518210.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11125050150200250668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#1
50.71.8
45.543.7
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 32.9
5675
#28
17.81.6
13.011.5
Auto-1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
494
#2
48.11.8
45.743.9
Auto7.6
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 36.6
5676
#38
11.62.6
14.712.1
Auto0.7
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
468
#36
10.11.8
10.48.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 0.1
5182
#39
10.01.6
11.510.0
Auto1.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0