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Red110
522715.0
432533.2
46944.6
Blue108
247439.1
194011.8
562318.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81520100150110108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#11
44.61.5
33.134.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 5.5
39.12.5
33.936.4
Auto0.6
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
4325
#14
33.21.5
33.535.0
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 15.3
5623
#32
18.02.5
13.816.3
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
5227
#21
15.01.5
12.914.4
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 3.3
1940
#40
11.82.5
10.713.2
Auto0.6
Teleop11.2
End0.0