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Red72
567430.8
562318.0
574524.6
Blue100
345247.6
354733.8
46810.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6377010015020025030035072100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#18
30.80.2
36.837.0
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
blue by 16.8
47.61.1
40.241.3
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
5745
#15
24.60.2
14.614.8
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 9.2
3547
#12
33.81.1
29.030.1
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Third
5623
#32
18.00.2
16.316.5
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 7.9
468
#36
10.11.1
8.69.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0