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Red129
295941.1
567517.8
7050.7
Blue113
546211.3
247439.1
561021.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9662050150200129113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#1
50.71.7
43.745.5
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 11.7
39.12.2
36.438.5
Auto0.6
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Second
41.11.7
38.940.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 20.1
5610
#20
21.12.2
18.821.0
Auto0.4
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
5675
#28
17.81.7
11.513.2
Auto-1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 6.5
5462
#37
11.32.2
14.216.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0