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Red18
125417.3
46810.1
561021.1
Blue78
485514.2
276744.8
436821.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37820501001502001878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5610
#20
21.11.4
21.920.6
Auto0.4
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 23.8
44.80.0
43.143.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
1254
#30
17.31.4
15.714.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4368
#16
21.40.0
18.618.6
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
468
#36
10.11.4
7.46.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4855
#33
14.20.0
15.915.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0