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Red126
520425.0
423730.1
368839.5
Blue121
7050.7
518210.0
574524.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8366050100150126121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.52.1
36.138.2
Auto0.7
Teleop38.8
End0.0
blue by 11.2
70
#1
50.72.5
45.548.0
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
30.12.1
25.527.7
Auto1.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 5.4
5745
#15
24.62.5
14.817.3
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
25.02.1
21.523.7
Auto0.9
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 15.0
5182
#39
10.02.5
10.813.3
Auto1.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0